Showing 1 - 10 of 1,146
We analyse stylised facts for Germany's business cycle at the firm level. Based on longitudinal firm-level data from the Bundesbank's balance sheet statistics covering, on average, 55,000 firms per year from 1971 to 1998, we estimate transition probabilities of a firm in a certain real sales...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295818
The sensitivity of innovation activities with respect to the business cycle is often assumed to be small. In this paper the hypothesis on cyclical dependence of innovation activities is tested for firms in the German manufacturing, and additionally for SMEs. To this end firms? innovation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297408
We generalize the score test for time-varying copula parameters proposed by [Abegaz & Naik-Nimbalkar, 2008] to a setting where more than one-parametric copulas can be tested for time variation in at least one parameter. In a next step we model the daily log returns of the Commerzbank stock using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305902
This work analyzes the saving and consumption behavior of agents faced with the possibility of unemployment in a dynamic and stochastic life cycle model. The intertemporal optimization is based on Dynamic Programming with a backward recursion algorithm.The implemented uncertainty is not based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449071
In this paper, the relation between income inequality and population growth is analized from a Darwinian perspective. A Markov chain population growth model is presented and estimated using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). We estimate both population growth rates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601069
In this paper, the relation between income inequality and population growth is analized from a Darwinian perspective. A Markov chain population growth model is presented and estimated using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). We estimate both population growth rates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009412039
Nonresponse in surveys may result in a distortion of the distribution of interest. In a panel survey the participation behavior in later waves is different from the participation behavior at the start. With register data that cover also the information for non-respondents one can observe a fade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312698
We propose a new view of initial nonresponse bias in longitudinal surveys. Under certain conditions, an initial bias may "fade-away" over consecutive waves. This effect is discussed in a Markovian framework. A general contraction theorem for time inhomogeneous Markov chains is presented. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714202
We analyse the effectiveness of fiscal policy rules for business cycle stabilisation in a monetary union using a quarterly macro-econometric model of Germany. The simulations compare a deficit target and an expenditure target under a range of supply, demand and fiscal shocks. Their effects are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260720
. Simulation methods have been developed to approximate a solution for these integrals. This paper describes the Standard Halton … sequence and a modification of it, the Shuffled Halton sequence. Both are simulation methods which can reduce computational … effort compared to a random sequence. We compare the simulation methods in their coverage of the multi-dimensional area and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011375025