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We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the world. Compared to existing models of this type, GEAR incorporates a comprehensive fiscal block, involuntary unemployment and a complex international structure. We use the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
autoregressions, we document a significant crowding-in of private investment and an output multiplier of roughly 2. Then, we match a … New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to the empirical responses, and we decompose the multiplier … capacity in the medium run, and it generates demand effects along the production network. We find a similar multiplier in other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015207271
By applying a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach this paper estimates the effects of fiscal policy shocks of different government sub-sectors on aggregate GDP in Germany. From a general government perspective, the results show that besides investment, it is particularly changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897960
By applying a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach this paper estimates the effects of fiscal policy shocks of different government sub-sectors on aggregate GDP in Germany. From a general government perspective, the results show that besides investment, it is particularly changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898124
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015178794
In this article we show that the empirically measured multiplier effect of fiscal policy is significant for Germany in … contribute to the small multiplier effect. We demonstrate by means of a counterfactual analysis that the Keynesian multiplier … effect of government spending is 2.44, whilst the multiplier effect of tax revenues stands at -1.78 when leaving these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015105434
endogenous model 36 1.3.4 Fiscal restrictions and estimation of the restricted models … series properties and estimation 77 2.5.3 Estimation results … 85 2.A Results of comprehensive estimation approach 85 2.B Additional plots of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355476
In 2009, Germany invested 15.4 Billion Euro in infrastructure to avert the looming recession. In this study, we evaluate whether the German stimulus program was successful in limiting the impact of the crisis on the job market. We exploit exogenous cross-sectional variation to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341046
linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking spending yields a short-term fiscal multiplier of around 0.70, while … the fiscal multiplier resulting from an increase in taxes and social security contributions is -0.66. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008936115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820469