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expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303730
unconventional policies that aim to increase households' spending directly through managing their expectations. We first show … theoretically and empirically that higher in ation expectations increase households' consumption. We then design a difference … demand via managing expectations. Whereas unconventional fiscal policy increases households' expectations and spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012490917
This paper assesses the contribution of the European Central Bank (ECB) to Germany's ongoing economic crisis, a vicious circle of decline in which the country has become stuck since the early 1990s. It is argued that the ECB continues the Bundesbank tradition of asymmetric policymaking: the bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003229840
This paper assesses the contribution of the European Central Bank (ECB) to Germany's ongoing economic crisis, a vicious circle of decline in which the country has become stuck since the early 1990s. It is argued that the ECB continues the Bundesbank tradition of asymmetric policymaking: the bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735028
We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319941
The economic forecasts for Germany in the period 2001 to 2003 grossly missed reality. Forecasters estimated an average annual growth rate of 1.6 per cent, but real GDP actually grew by only 0.3 per cent per annum. In 2003 the real GDP in Germany even shrank by 0.1 per cent. Forecasters tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262887
expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605066
expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003837787
expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831853
expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864082