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We have studied the comparative performance of a number of interest rate spreads as predictors of the German inflation … three of the interest rate differentials also foreshadowed the long swings in the German inflation rate remarkably well with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195920
In order to assess the effect of fiscal rules in Stage Three of EMU for France and Germany, Bayoumi and Eichengreen's (1992) structural VAR analysis is extended by including the general government financial surplus and conditioning by external variables. This allows a distinction between fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014187521
This paper builds a model-based dynamic monetary and fiscal conditions index (DMFCI) and uses it to examine the evolution of the joint stance of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro area (EA) and in its three largest member countries over the period 2007-2018. The index is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828229
This paper builds a model-based dynamic monetary and fiscal conditions index (DMFCI) and uses it to examine the evolution of the joint monetary and fiscal policy stance in the euro area (EA) and its three largest member countries over the period 2007-2018. The index is based on the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014092440
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001715760
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002561992
This paper studies the effects of fiscal policy on GDP, inflation and interest rates in 5 OECD countries, using a … plausible values of its price elasticity, government spending typically has small effects on inflation. 6) Both the decline in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067895
This paper studies the effects of fiscal policy on GDP, prices and interest rates in 5 OECD countries, using a structural Vector Autoregression approach. Its mains results can be summarized as follows; 1) The effects of fiscal policy on GDP and its components have become substantially weaker in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320219