It is widely-known that different methods of detrending data yield different business cycle features. The choice of the detrending method, however, is usually arbitrarily made. This paper aims at revealing potential pitfalls of different detrending methods for the estimation of a standard...

This paper studies the optimal interest rate rule in a DSGE model with housing market spillovers (Iacoviello and Neri (2010)). We find that the optimal rule responds to house price inflation even when the stabilization of house price is not among the objectives of the policymaker, and that the...

The slope of the yield curve has long been found to be a useful predictor of future economic activity, but the relationship is unstable. One change we have identified in this paper is that, starting from the 1990s, movements at the long end of the yield curve have an increase in predictive...