In this paper, new noncausality tests built on a general nonlinear framework are proposed and their performance studied by a Monte Carlo experiment and a variety of nonlinear artificial series. Two of these test are based on a Taylor expansion of the nonlinear model around a given point in a...

In this paper we consider deterministic seasonal variation in quarterly production for several European countries, and we address the question whether this variation has become more similar across countries over time. Due to economic and institutional factors, one may expect convergence across...

This note gives a few practical guidelines for cointegration analysis. The focus is on testing the cointegration rank in a VAR model and on how an intercept and a trend should be incorporated in the model. Only two cases appear relevant for most economic data.

We propose methods to test for common deterministic seasonality, while allowing for possible seasonal unit roots. For this purpose, we consider panel methods, where we allow for individualand for common dynamics. To decide on the presence of seasonal unit roots, we introduce a decision-based...

We consider representation, estimation and inference on cointegration in a periodic vector autoregressive time series model (PVAR). We show that cointegration amounts to a restriction on a product of parameter matrices. We therefore use GMM to construct estimators of the long-run (cointegration)...