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movements do not have an impact on inflation, as aggregate rules of thumb mask substantial heterogeneities across countries … deviations of inflation from target, including those relating to exchange rate fluctuations. Moreover, under the effective lower … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206373
costs across product groups. We show that, after the referendum, inflation increased by more for product groups with higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157863
This paper investigates whether the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation is a nonlinear phenomenon for … confidence during the recent sovereign debt crisis has entailed a higher sensibility of CPI inflation to exchange rate movements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374301
We use the behavioral equilibirum exchange rate (BEER) approach to examine the extent of real exchange rate misalignment in the euro area over the period 1980-2014. In a panel data setting, we find significant links between real exchange rates, relative productivity, trade balance and terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505006
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087283
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries inflation into … quarters of the past six years, especially in turning point periods. Our main results indicate that headline inflation in euro … inflation this increasing sensitivity is solely reliant on a sustained surge in the degree of comovement, for energy inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838756
Expectations are at the centre of modern macroeconomic theory and policymakers. In this paper, we examine the predictive ability and the consistency properties of macroeconomic expectations using data of the European Central Bank (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933133
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries in ation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a exible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181317
We investigate inflation convergence between the Euro Zone and its CEE partners using panel data methods that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064675