This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...

This paper investigates business cycle relations among different economies in the Euro area. Cyclical dynamics are explicitly modelled as part of a time series model. We introduce mechanisms that allow for increasing or diminishing phase shifts and for time-varying association patterns in...

This paper provides evidence that, since the sign of Maastricht Treaty, euro-area monetary authorities mainly follow a strong anti-inflationary policy. This policy can be described by a threshold monetary policy rule model which allows for distinct inflation policy regimes: a low and high. The...

We develop a similarity-based structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model using the similar clusters of data relevant for the prevailing initial macroeconomic conditions of interest. Our computationally attractive simple approach enables us to uncover time-varying effects of structural...

This paper studies the relationship between lobbying, free emission allowance allocation and firm outcomes in the European Union Emissions Trading System (ETS). I draw on administrative data from the EU Transpareny Register (TR) and the European Union Transaction Log (EUTL), and construct a...

We build up and estimate a two-region DSGE model of the Euro area, investigating the interactions between the peripheral countries (PIIGS) and the rest of EMU. Our main focus is on the 2008-2009 financial crisis and on the subsequent 2010-sovereign bond crisis. One striking result is that the...

Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as "volatility smile". They provide a discrete...

Both theorists and practitioners continue to show interest in transatlantic burden-sharing. International security and political economy scholarship offers plausible explanations for transatlantic imbalances in military expenditures. However, NATO Allies and EU Member States have pledged to one...

Practitioners and regulators increasingly rely on economic theory to measure bank efficiency and liken institutes with each other. These studies lean first on several methods that could be either stochastic or deterministic and second the input-output definition is based on a production or...

In the present paper an attempt will be made to find an empirical relationship between poverty risk and the number of strikes. For this finding panel data are used covering European countries (1995 - 2006). These data are elaborated by means of Eviews software package