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This paper analyses leading indicator properties of a broad set of credit spreads, compiled on the basis of information from both corporate bonds and bank loans for forecasting of real activity, unemployment, inflation and lending volumes in the euro area and in five major European economies. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988612
lending guidelines, and demand in housing construction and mortgage lending has plummeted. Against this background, the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527124
mortgage-backed securities is more widespread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898840
mortgage-backed securities is more widespread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860418
highest percentage of households in arrears in Italy and Spain. The probability of being late in repaying mortgage is lower … second part of the paper, we assess how much the price of the mortgage is linked to the household specific credit risk, as … measured by its predicted probability of being in arrears on mortgage. This analysis regards only Italian households for which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156811
We present an analysis of the sensitivity of household mortgage probabilities of default (PDs) and loss given default … counterfactual analysis of the responsiveness of mortgage PDs, LGDs, and bank capitalization conditional on adverse scenarios related …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291773
This paper employs a time-varying parameter state space model to explore the impact of the crisis on bank retail rates in the euro area. We show that σ-convergence in interest rates has been adversely affected by the crisis and quantify the role of sovereign and credit risk as two alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053074
In this paper we take an innovative econometric look at the Euro Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis. We are particularly interested in understanding which determinants have led investors to ask for higher yields on sovereign debt from the Euro shatter belt. We dismiss the definition of speculation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124110
This paper studies the relationship between the Euribor rate and the return on average assets (ROAA) of the Spanish banking sector. We use quarterly time series data for the period 1995-2016. Our analysis also controls for bank factors, market concentration, the macroeconomic environment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173802
We examine the credit channel of monetary policy from 2000 to 2015 in the Euro Area using daily monetary policy shock and credit risk measures in an autoregressive distributed lag model. We find that an expansionary monetary policy shock leads to a short-run increase in the credit risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893974