consumption, income and wealth. We account for the various channels through which inflation affects individual households, and for … the monetary and fiscal policy responses to the inflationary shock. Our results indicate that the effects of inflation … differences in individual consumption patterns. On average, the effect of inflation is regressive, with lower income households …

including OOH in the HICP to derive a new inflation index. We discuss the conceptual and measurement issues involved …. We show that since 2011 the estimated impact of including OOH in HICP annual inflation, based on either the "net … suggests that including OOH based on the rental equivalence approach decreases the cyclicality of the new inflation index …

This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook …. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation … long-horizons. Overall, the NKPC is a useful tool for monitoring euro area inflation outlook. Thanks to its fast and light …

We test for state-dependent bias in the European Central Bank's inflation projections. We show that the ECB tends to … underpredict when the observed inflation rate at the time of forecasting is higher than an estimated threshold of 1.8%. The bias is … most pronounced at intermediate forecasting horizons. This suggests that inflation is projected to revert towards the …