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This paper estimates the probability distribution of budgets, revenues, returns and profits to G-, PG-, PG13-, and R-rated movies. The distributions are non-Gaussian and show a self-similar stable Paretian form with non-finite variance and non-stationary mean.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005486841
In this paper we model Value-at-Risk (VaR) for daily stock index returns using a collection of parametric models of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669280
We instillate rational cognition and learning in "seemingly riskless" choices and judgments. Preferences and possibilities are given in a stochastic sense and based on revisable expectations. The theory predicts experimental preference reversals and passes a sharp econometric test of the status...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005729521
describe how Americans in the labor force perceive the risk of near-term economic misfortune. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200413