In this paper we study the detailed distributional properties of integrated non-Gaussian OU (intOU) processes. Both exact and approximate results are given. We emphasise the study of the tail behaviour of the intOU process. Our results have many potential applications in financial economics, for...

Parallel computation has a long history in econometric computing, but is not at all wide spread. We believe that a major impediment is the labour cost of coding for parallel architectures. Moreover, programs for specific hardware often become obsolete quite quickly. Our approach is to take a...

This paper reviews the need for powerful computing facilities in econometrics, focusing on concrete problems which arise in financial economics and in macroeconomics. We argue that the profession is being held back by the lack of easy to use generic software which is able to exploit the...

Non-Gaussian processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type, or OU processes for short, offer the possibility of capturing important distributional deviations from Gaussianity and for flexible modelling of dependence structures. This paper develops this potential, drawing on and extending powerful results...

The availability of intra-day data on the prices of speculative assets means that we can use quadratic variation like measures of activity in financial markets, called realised volatility, to study the stochastic properties of returns. Here we provide a statistical basis for realised volatility...

A local level model has a deterministic level when the signal-to-noise ratio q is zero. In this paper we investigate the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of q, paying particular attention to the case where its true value is zero. These properties are shown to be crucially dependent...

State space alternative to autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models are proposed. The initial model, which is labelled the Gaussian local scale model, has a measurement density which is Gaussian, conditional on the unobservable precision. The precision is assumed to be a gamma...

This paper looks at some recent work on estimating quadratic variation using realized variance (RV) - that is, sums of M squared returns. This econometrics has been motivated by the advent of the common availability of high-frequency financial return data. When the underlying process is a...

Limit distribution results on realized power variation, that is, sums of absolute powers of increments of a process, are derived for certain types of semimartingale with continuous local martingale component, in particular for a class of flexible stochastic volatility models. The theory covers,...

A single outlier in a regression model can be detected by the effect of its deletion on the residual sum of squares. An equivalent procedure is the simple intervention in which an extra parameter is added for the mean of the observation in question. Similarly, for unobserved components or...