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This paper proposes an original three-part sequential testing procedure (STP), with which to test for contagion using a … test is applied to the correlation matrix to identify and date the potential contagion mechanism. As a third element, the … STP tests for the distinctiveness of the break dates previously found. Compared to traditional contagion tests in a …
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We use the German Crisis of 1931, a key event of the Great Depression, to study how depositors behave during a bank run in the absence of deposit insurance. We find that deposits decline by around 20 percent during the run and that there is an equal outflow of retail and nonfinancial wholesale...
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Interconnections between banking crises and fiscal crises have a long history. We document the long-run evolution from … classic banking panics toward modern banking crises where financial guarantees are associated with crisis resolution. Recent …
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