Fundamental sources of the Russian financial crisis in 1998 are discussed. Focus is made on the time horizon of judgements concerning sustainability of the economic policy. It is argued that the macroeconomic policy pursued by the monetary authorities was not robust in a medium run, but, in the...

This paper reviews macroeconomic developments during the first year of the crisis in east Asia and draws some preliminary policy lessons. The crisis is rooted in the interaction of large capital inflows and weak private and public sector governance. At the same time, macroeconomic adjustment in...

Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface -- One. The Next Great Globalization: A Force for Good? -- Part One. Is Financial Globalization Beneficial? -- Two. How Poor Countries Can Get Rich: Strengthening Property Rights and the Financial System -- Three. Financial Development, Economic Growth, and...

In this contribution, we aim at describing the problem of debt and currency crisis by means of system dynamics modeling. We use the historical evidence from the Russian default in 1998 as an example. First, we apply the system dynamics approach to quantitatively assess the Russian economic...