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1
Information rigidities in economic growth forecasts : evidence from a large international panel : conference paper
Dovern, Jonas
;
Fritsche, Ulrich
;
Loungani, Prakash
; …
-
2013
is evidence of nonlinearities in
forecast
smoothing. It is less pronounced in the tails of the distribution of individual …
forecast
revisions than in the central part of the distribution. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339322
Saved in:
2
Analyzing fixed-event
forecast
revisions
Chang, Chia-Lin
;
Bruijn, Bert de
;
Franses, Philip Hans
; …
-
2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765842
Saved in:
3
Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members
Pierdzioch, Christian
;
Ruelke, Jan-Christoph
;
Tillmann, …
-
2013
the
forecast
bias. In contrast to the existing literature, we use forecasts submitted by individual FOMC members to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692667
Saved in:
4
A multivariate analysis of
forecast
disagreement : confronting models of disagreement with SPF data
Dovern, Jonas
-
2014
This paper documents multivariate
forecast
disagreement among professional forecasters of the Euro area economy and … forecasters disagree with the average
forecast
tends to persist over time. This suggests that models of heterogeneous expectation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424832
Saved in:
5
A comparative analysis of macroeconomic forecasts accuracy in Spain and Romania
Bratu, Mihaela
- In:
UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and …
6
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 67-74
In this study a comparative analysis of the forecasts accuracy for Spain (developed country) and Romania (developing country) was developed for the crisis period (2009 - 2013). The providers are national forecasters: Bank of Spain and FUNCAS (Spanish Savings Banks Foundation) for Spain and two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298802
Saved in:
6
Forecasting Macedonian GDP : evaluation of different models for short-term forecastin
Jovanovic, Branimir
;
Petrovska, Magdalena
-
Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija
-
2010
We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand; 4) small structural model that links GDP components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623268
Saved in:
7
How Well Do Economists
Forecast
Recessions?
An, Zidong
-
2019
-recession years are revised slowly; in recession years, the pace of revision picks up but not sufficiently to avoid large
forecast
…
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864122
Saved in:
8
Forecast
Performance in the ECB SPF : Ability or Chance?
Meyler, Aidan
-
2020
In this paper, we consider whether differences in the
forecast
performance of ECB SPF respondents reflect ability or … horizons, the aggregate (consensus) SPF
forecast
performs best …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842351
Saved in:
9
Forecast
performance in the ECB SPF : ability or chance?
Meyler, Aidan
-
2020
In this paper, we consider whether differences in the
forecast
performance of ECB SPF respondents reflect ability or … horizons, the aggregate (consensus) SPF
forecast
performs best. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156473
Saved in:
10
The Nordhaus test with many zeros
Lahiri, Kajal
;
Zhao, Yongchen
-
2020
growth, inflation, and unemployment over 1985-2020, we find pervasive overreaction to news at most of the monthly
forecast
…
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226771
Saved in:
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