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Measuring Uncertainty About Long-Run Prediction
Müller, Ulrich K. - 2013
Long-run forecasts of economic variables play an important role in policy, planning, and portfolio decisions. We consider long-horizon forecasts of average growth of a scalar variable, assuming that first differences are second-order stationary. The main contribution is the construction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085495
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Measuring uncertainty about long-run prediction
Müller, Ulrich K.; Watson, Mark W. - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009730746
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Are forecasters reluctant to revise their predictions? : Some German evidence
Kirchgässner, Gebhard; Müller, Ulrich K. - In: Journal of forecasting 25 (2006) 6, pp. 401-413
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003378442
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Measuring uncertainty about long-run predictions
Müller, Ulrich K.; Watson, Mark W. - In: The review of economic studies 83 (2016) 4, pp. 1711-1740
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656576
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An econometric model of international long-run growth dynamics
Müller, Ulrich K.; Stock, James H.; Watson, Mark W. - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174807
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An econometric model of international growth dynamics for long-horizon forecasting
Müller, Ulrich K.; Stock, James H.; Watson, Mark W. - In: The review of economics and statistics 104 (2022) 5, pp. 857-876
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013407538
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Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Prediction
Mueller, Ulrich - 2013
Long-run forecasts of economic variables play an important role in policy, planning, and portfolio decisions. We consider long-horizon forecasts of average growth of a scalar variable, assuming that first differences are second-order stationary. The main contribution is the construction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459791