We use a narrative method to construct an uncertainty measure based on transnational geopolitical tensions that is plausibly uncorrelated with the existing economic conditions. Increases in geopolitical uncertainty cause a significant reduction in R&D expenditure and patenting activity –...

This paper provides new empirical evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in developing economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify unanticipated changes in public investment, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output in the short and...

Despite sustained economic growth and rapid poverty reductions, income inequality remains stubbornly high in many low-income developing countries. This pattern is a concern as high levels of inequality can impair the sustainability of growth and macroeconomic stability, thereby also limiting...