to estimate Growth at Risk as introduced in Adrian, Boyarchenko, and Giannone's (2019) seminal paper "Vulnerable Growth … volatility and asymmetric measurement densities. Estimating the model based on US data yields conditional forecast densities that …

Our understanding of risk preferences can be sharpened by considering their evolutionary basis. The existing literature … has focused on two sources of risk: idiosyncratic risk and aggregate risk. We introduce a new source of risk, heritable … risk, in which there is a positive correlation between the fitness of a newborn agent and the fitness of her parent …