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This paper studies the cross-country patterns of risky innovation and growth through the lens of international trade. It uses a simple theoretical framework of risky quality upgrading by firms under varying levels of financial development to derive two predictions. First, the mean rate of...
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the risk channel, (2) by providing descriptive and comparative data, (3) by tying in the catalytic role of derivatives in …
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In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument … temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the … Equator carry a positive temperature risk premium which decreases as one moves farther away from the Equator. The differences …
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financial crises on a continuous scale. Several index designs from the financial stress and systemic risk literature can be …-correlations as systemic risk weights, computationally similar to how portfolio risk is computed from the risk characteristics of … individual assets. A boot-strap algorithm provides test statistics. Single-equation and system quantile growth-at-risk …
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