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We build a model for bond yields based on a small-scale representation of an economy with secular declines in inflation …, the real rate and output growth. Long-run restrictions identify nominal shocks that influence long-run inflation but do … results show that, before the anchoring of inflation around the mid-1990s, nominal shocks lifted the output gap and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012488074
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014329827
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011814230
This paper investigates inflation thresholds that lead to higher growth rates using five-year averages of standard … countries: (i) the catch-up effect has worked only when inflation is below 12%; (ii) the positive effect of human capital on … growth has been present and significant when inflation has been below 15%; (iii) financial development has been effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118189
A large body of evidence links financial development to economic growth, yet the channels through which inflation … to examining these channels, and find that higher levels of financial development, combined with low inflation, are … its explanatory power in the presence of high inflation. In particular, small increases in the price level seem able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721286
A large body of evidence links financial development to economic growth, yet the channels through which inflation … to examining these channels, and find that higher levels of financial development, combined with low inflation, are … its explanatory power in the presence of high inflation. In particular, small increases in the price level seem able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200230
the inflation rate. Using five-year averages of standard measures of financial development, inflation, and growth for 84 … countries from 1960 to 1995, a series of rolling panel regressions show that there is an inflation threshold for the finance …-growth relationship that lies between 13 and 25 percent. When inflation exceeds the threshold, finance ceases to increase economic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014110986
This paper documents several stylized facts on the real effects of economic uncertainty. First, higher uncertainty is associated with a more dispersed and negatively skewed distribution of output growth. Second, the response of economic growth to an increase in uncertainty is highly nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048844
, economic uncertainty, and risk premia influence firms' financing and default policies. Countercyclical fluctuations in risk …. These comovements generate large credit risk premia for investment grade firms, which helps address the "credit spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155971
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068979