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We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a … medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on … counterfactual exercises suggest that the change in the Federal Reserve's policy response to inflation is likely to have been the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
We study the relationship between the strength of the bank credit channel (BCC) of monetary policy transmission and real GDP growth in Tunisia using quarterly commercial bank-level data between 2008 and 2019. We find evidence of the existence of the bank credit channel in Tunisia in both its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256760
The authors review the challenges that the Romanian economy and society had to face in the European and global geoeconomic context. Starting from the perspectives advanced by the international economic fora, the risks the European economy will have to answer through counteracting and general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464256
inflation and real economic growth, since this conventional model focuses instead directly upon real output and the aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729690
There is little question that financial factors played a role in the amplification and extension of shocks during the Great Depression. The specific mechanisms through which financial factors affected real economic activity, as well as their timing and extent, nevertheless remain a source of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900181
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739598
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988788
With positive trend inflation, the Taylor principle is not enough to guarantee a determinate equilibrium. We provide … new theoretical results on restoring determinacy in New Keynesian models with positive trend inflation and combine these … variables and the decline in trend inflation during the Volcker disinflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201193
In a recent paper, Atkeson and Kehoe (2004) demonstrated the lack of a robust empirical relationship between inflation … relationship by allowing for inflation and growth to have a nonlinear specification dependent on inflation levels. In particular …, we allow for the possibility that high inflation is negatively correlated with growth, while a positive relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013281328