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the effects of the same fertility and mortality shocks across models with and without children. Simulations show that … while child dependency changes the direction of the impact of the fertility transition on external imbalances in the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295892
This paper employs an aggregate representation of an overlapping generation (OLG) model quantifying a decrease of the natural real interest rate in the range of -1.7 and -0.4 percentage points in the euro area between 1990 and 2030 due to demographics alone. Two channels contribute to this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994650
and innovation) and therefore, long- run economic growth of an economy by working through the influence of fertility rates … simultaneous decline in fertility rate reduces total factor productivity growth by contracting the stock of human capital. The … fertility. Therefore, the economy grows at the rate of population growth at the macro level under the two regimes. Also, it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015375997
shocks (permanent or transitory; fertility or mortality) and also on the stage of demographic shocks. Second, less generous … specialization in labor-intensive sectors tends to decrease investment and drive capital outflows in the face of fertility growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212954
The world will experience dramatic demographic change over this century. This paper examines the impacts of this global demographic change on the Australian economy at both the aggregate and sectoral levels in a global multi-region and multi-sector general equilibrium model. Using a detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838076
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model of fertility, human capital accumulation, child labor and … survival probability leads to falling fertility, eventually to investment into schooling and the demise of child labor. Child … generate a demographic transition. Falling mortality can only explain a relatively small part of the fertility decline. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070900
High-income countries have generally experienced falling fertility in recent decades. In most of these countries, the … total fertility rate is now below the level that implies a stable population in the long run. This has led to concerns among … economists, policymakers, and the wider public about the economic consequences of low fertility and population decline. In this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377694
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528105
the dynamic evolution of income and fertility distributions and their interdependencies over three endogenous phases of … economic development. In our model, heterogeneous families determine fertility and children's human capital, and generations … dynamic behavior of inequalities in fertility, educational attainments, and three endogenous income inequality measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771979
fertility rates and population growth in various regions of the world, enabling economies to convert a larger share of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069583