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paper show that the real-time consideration of these forecasts has the potential to improve the precision with which past … forecasts is also aptly demonstrated through the use of simulation techniques, density functions, and event probability … forecasts. …
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Die erheblichen Turbulenzen an den Finanzmärkten, die Talfahrten von Aktienkursen sowie die Veränderung der relativen Attraktivität unterschiedlicher Anlageformen beeinflussen die Investitionsentscheidungen von Anlegern. In der Studie untersucht das HWWI die Rentabilität von Investitionen in...
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data can provide more accurate one-quarter-ahead forecasts of output growth than naive alternatives. Another finding is …
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This paper introduces a novel score-driven dynamic factor model designed for filtering cross-sectional co-movements in panels of time series. The model is formulated using elliptical distribution for the noise terms, thus allowing the update of the time-varying parameter to be potentially...
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