This study analyzes the potential effectiveness of using simple technical analysis indicators to determine the overall riskiness of portfolio asset allocation. Using the 200-day simple moving average of the S&P500 as our technical indicator in two separate strategies, we employ a “risk-on”...

Most technical trading strategies primarily focus on price trends to guide investment decisions. We consider an alternative approach that employs changes in the volatility index (i.e., VIX) as a trading indicator and test a variety of thresholds in an easy to implement trading strategy that even...