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Due to the non-storability of electricity and the resulting lack of arbitrage-based arguments to price electricity forward contracts, these exhibit a significant time-varying risk premium. Using EEX data during the introduction of Emission certificates and the German "Atom Moratorium" we show...
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This paper provides a two-factor model for electricity futures, which captures the main features of the market and fits the term structure of volatility. The approach extends the one-factor-model of Clewlow and Strickland to a two-factor model and modifies it to make it applicable to the...
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One of the major changes in european electricity markets is - besides the increasing share of renewable infeed - the fact that previously independent market areas have been connected. Day-Ahead auctions are no longer done separately and available interconnector capacity are not always auctioned...
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Electricity markets feature a non-storable underlying, which implies the break down of traditional cash-and-carry arguments as well as the well-known spot-forward relationship. We introduce the notion of information premium to describe the influence of future information - such as planned power...
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