Showing 1 - 10 of 2,649
unemployment. Significant asymmetries emerge. Lilien's dispersion index is significant only for relatively high levels of … unemployment and becomes insignificant for low levels suggesting that reallocation affects unemployment only when the latter is … high. More job reallocation is associated with higher unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730966
We examine the dynamic phenomenon of unemployment as a constantly changing inventory of unemployed individuals. We … unemployment. Multicointegration, introduced by Granger and Lee (1989), offers a natural way to model the level of unemployment as … an inventory. We find that there is multicointegration between inflows into and outflows from unemployment and the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065301
the unemployment rate in Australia over the period 1979-1998. The Hodrick-Prescott filter is employed to extract the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565348
During the typical recovery from U.S. post-War period economic downturns, employment recovers to its pre-recession level within months of the output trough. However, during the last two recoveries, employment has taken up to two years to achieve its pre-recession benchmark. We propose a formal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051999
The informational value of the aggregate US unemployment rate has recently been questioned because of a unit root in … the labor-force participation rate; the lack of mean reversion implies that long-run changes in unemployment rates are … highly unlikely to reflect long-run changes in joblessness. This paper shows that this critique also extends to unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008656701
The trade-off between output and unemployment has become an essential part of modern macroeconomics and is known as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619838
The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a popular tool in macroeconomics for decomposing a time series into a smooth trend and a business cycle component. The last few years have witnessed global events, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine, that have had...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581212
This study investigates the usefulness of the business tendency surveys collected at the KOF institute for short-term forecasting of employment in Switzerland aggregated in the KOF Employment Indicator. We use the real time dataset in order to simulate the actual predictive process using only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285821
operating firms. While unemployment rapidly increases, inability of decreasing the real cost makes the policies aimed at … unemployment ineffective. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406717
This study employs a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model to analyze the dynamic effects of wage changes on Ghana's economy. In particular, the paper sheds light on how changes in wages affect the short-run and long-run dynamics of labor productivity, employment and prices in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097026