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games, beauty contests, and their applications. We elaborate on the distinct effects of strategic uncertainty relative to … fundamental uncertainty. We demonstrate the potential fragility of workhorse macroeconomic models to relaxations of common …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573121
We develop a method to estimate a game’s primitives in complex dynamic environments. Because of the environment’s complexity, agents may not know or understand some key features of their interaction. Instead of equilibrium assumptions, we impose an asymptotic ε-regret (ε-AR) condition on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241906
tradeoff between rigidity and flexibility in a trading environment with incomplete contracts and ex ante uncertainty about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003793317
tradeoff between rigidity and flexibility in a trading environment with incomplete contracts and ex ante uncertainty about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765614
This paper examines the behavior of the regret-averse multinational firm under exchange rate uncertainty. The … less, sells more domestically, and export less abroad under uncertainty than under certainty holds if the multinational … domestically, and export more abroad under uncertainty than under certainty, particularly when the multinational firm is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521733
consistent with two prominent models of decision making under uncertainty: variational preferences and smooth ambiguity. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725525
We present a model of firm investment under uncertainty and partial irreversibility in which uncertainty is represented … by a jump diffusion. This allows to represent both the continuous Gaussian volatility and the discontinuous uncertainty … related to information arrival, sudden changes and large shocks. The model shows how both sources of uncertainty negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987374
Both mathematical modelling and simulation methods in general have contributed greatly to understanding, insight and forecasting in many fields including macroeconomics. Never-theless, we must remain careful to distinguish model-land and model-land quantities from the real world. Decisions taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990910
-world quantities with transparent uncertainty quantification, than when based on “optimal” model-land quantities obtained from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110757
This chapter reviews developments in the theory of decision making under risk and uncertainty, focusing on models that …-dependent utility models and cumulative prospect theory. The second part reviews theories of decision making under uncertainty that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442