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This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing countries. An emerging consensus in the recent literature focusing on industrialized countries has noted the superior performance of the Fractionally Integrated Generalized...
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This paper investigates the predictability of asset prices among developed and emerging markets. Weekly and monthly stock market indices from developed and emerging market economies are analysed to check the validity of weak-form of Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) using various empirical...
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We test the predictive ability of investor sentiment on the return and volatility at the aggregate market level in the U.S., four largest European countries and three Asia-Pacific countries. We find that in the U.S., France and Italy periods of high consumer confidence levels are followed by low...
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The most popular method of calculating asset prices is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What is the appropriate … amount of years to use in the estimation and which variation of the capital asset pricing beta provides the best results …? This research looks at the out of sample forecasting capabilities of three popular CAPM ex-post constant beta models from …
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