"The notion that expectations play a key role in economic decision making is a very old one. Over the past 100 years, major advances in the application of this insight in the formulation of economic models have been made in various subfields of economics. The concept of extrapolation, the idea...

As one of the first texts to take a behavioral approach to macroeconomic expectations, this book introduces a new way of doing economics. Rötheli uses cognitive psychology in a bottom-up method of modeling macroeconomic expectations. His research is based on laboratory experiments and...

This article relates to the view expressed by Pigou and Keynes that whatever factors affect the demand for goods it is ultimately producers' expectations and plans that determine the level of output. We build on this notion in order to address the question how changes in monetary policy affect...

This study takes up Keynes' ideas concerning long-term expectations, particularly his notion that expectations are subject to sudden changes with strong effects on economic activity. We start by detailing Keynes' views regarding the nature of expectations and their role in the business cycle. I...

This is a short review of hypotheses on expectations formation in economics. The text focuses on the competition between the notions of rational and extrapolative expectations. A thought experiment is offered to rationalize the ongoing popularity of rational expectations