This study uses input-output labor-accounting to estimate the impact of rising imports from China on US employment. Our counterfactual analysis incorporates offsets from substitution for imports from other countries, increased US exports to China and other countries, and job gains in downstream...

This paper applies time series analysis to distinguish between cyclical and demographic causes of the decline of the labor force participation rate. Some public discussions suggest that the decline of US unemployment from its 2009 peak of 10 percent to about 6 percent by mid-2014 grossly...