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Modeling and forecasting by the vector autoregressive moving average model for export of coal and oil data (case study from Indonesia over the years 2002-2017)

Warsono; Russel, Edwin; Wamiliana; Widiarti; Mustofa Usman - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 9 (2019) 4, pp. 240-247

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012386807

Forecasting global temperatures by exploiting cointegration with radiative forcing

Benati, Luca - 2023

I use Bayesian VARs to forecast global temperatures anomalies until the end of the XXI century by exploiting their … cointegration with the Joint Radiative Forcing (JRF) of the drivers of climate change. Under a ‘no change’ scenario, the most … favorable median forecast predicts the land temperature anomaly to reach 5.6 Celsius degrees in 2100. Forecasts conditional on …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303938

Physical market determinants of the price of crude oil and the market premium

Chevillon, Guillaume; Rifflart, Christine - In: Energy economics 31 (2009) 4, pp. 537-549

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867814

Physical market determinants on the price of crude oil and the market premium

Chevillon, Guillaume; Rifflart, Christine - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003589310

Physical Market Determinants of the Price of Crude Oil and the Market Premium

Chevillon, Guillaume - 2007

We analyze the physical, i.e. non financial, determinants of the real price of crude oil by means of an equilibrium correction model over the last two decades. We find that two cointegrating relations affect the change in prices: one refers to OPEC's cartel behavior attempting to control prices...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730831