This paper reconsiders information in the US T-bill term structure for predicting movements in real monthly industrial production. It is shown that although T-bill spreads contain little or no predictive content, increases in term premia estimated from a GARCH-M model of the term structure do....

It has been demonstrated by Rugman and his colleagues that a majority of the activities undertaken by the world's largest 500 MNEs, such as sales, assets, and employment, are regional in nature. This evidence has also been extended to trade and FDI patterns of OECD countries. Given the costs...