This study investigates the sources of cross-country income disparities in the context of time series dynamics for both aggregate and sectoral levels. We first introduce a new approach for testing income disparity persistence across countries. The method proposed by Pesaran, Pierse, and Lee...

Using a dynamic panel threshold model, we find a nonlinear effect of financial development on participation in the global value chains for 92 countries. The effect is positive below a threshold and turns negative above it. We provide evidence supporting our explanation that when a country’s...

Previous research indicates that the price-output correlation is time varying. This paper therefore estimates a VAR with a bivariate GARCH error process to obtain a time series of quarterly estimates of the price-output correlation for the United States for the period 1876:4-1999:4. The...

It is generally agreed that the price-output correlation in the United States was positive prior to the Second World War, but became negative during the postwar period (at least by 1972). This paper offers evidence that the price-output correlation changed signs because of a decrease in the...