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We propose newly developed unsmoothing techniques for appraisal-based real estate returns based on a regime-switching Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. We show that when true returns follow a TAR process, conventional linear autoregressive technique are misspecified and underestimate true...
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We examine how information risk and transaction costs influence the initial and subsequent market reaction to earnings news. We find that the initial market reaction is higher per unit of earnings surprise for higher information risk firms (information content effect). Furthermore, it is...
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Most existing text-based sentiment measures in finance are lexicon-based which are effectively based on word counts of positive and negative sentiment dictionaries, and naturally lose most information. We measure news sentiment using BERT, a state-of-the-art large language model, which reads and...
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