We show that factor forecasting models deliver real-time gains over autoregressive models for US real activity variables during the recent period, but are less successful for nominal variables. The gains are largely due to the Financial Crisis period, and are primarily at the shortest (one...

From individual-level longitudinal data for two entire cohorts of medical students in UK universities, we analyse the probability that an individual student will 'drop out' of medical school prior to the successful completion of their studies. We examine the cohort of students enrolling for a...