This paper evaluates the predictability of monthly stock return using out-of-sample (multi-step ahead and dynamic) prediction intervals. Past studies have exclusively used point forecasts, which are of limited value since they carry no information about the intrinsic predictive uncertainty...

In this paper, we attempt to examine the speculative efficiency hypothesis on CO2 emission allowance prices negotiated on Bluenext, by testing the relationship between futures and spot prices from the Fama (1970) framework. This approach is based on the joint hypothesis of no risk premium and...