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Using a comprehensive data set and an array of 27 macroeconomic, stock and bond predictors, we find that corporate bond returns are highly predictable based on an iterated combination model. The large set of predictors outperforms traditional predictors substantially, and predictability...
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We analyze the daily predictability of investor sentiment across four major asset classes and compare sentiment measures based on news and social media with those based on trade information. For the majority of assets, trade-based sentiment measures outperform their text-based equivalents for...
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We investigate whether firm fundamentals can explain the shape of option implied volatility (IV)curve. Extending Geske's (1977) compound option model, we link firm fundamentals to the IV curvetheoretically. Using options on all available US-listed companies, we find empirically that...
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