In this note the author discusses the problem of updating forecasts in a time-discrete forecasting model when information arrives between the current period and the next period. To use the information that arrives between two periods, he assumes that the process between two periods can be...

The globalization process leads to increasing synchronization of business cycle among different countries. As a consequence, many policy makers and Central Banks are afraid of vulnerabilities of their country arising from external risk drivers. In this paper we develop a multi-regime global VAR...

Okun's (1962) seminal paper is an important study on economic growth and unemployment but a detailed exploration of the effect of productivity growth on unemployment has been left aside. Yet, the relationship between productivity growth and unemployment has been debated since long. In this paper...