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-week portfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) predictions and the time-instability of financial market … effects when they are needed the most. Diversification among multiple asset classes significantly reduces the risk of …
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We propose a multidimensional extension for Patton's (2006) bivariate Dynamic Copulas. We also introduce a Dynamic Mixture Copula whose parameters and weights follow well defined dynamic processes. Both approaches are more flexible to adapt to financial data than currently available Copula...
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This paper examines the time-varying dependence structure of commodity futures portfolios based on multivariate dynamic copula models. The importance of accounting for time-variation is emphasized in the context of the Basel traffic light system. We enhance the exibility of this structure by...
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using historical data on European financial stocks that forecasts portfolio Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES). …
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