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This paper develops a dynamic portfolio selection model incorporating economic uncertainty for business cycles. It is assumed that the financial market at each point in time is defined by a hidden Markov model, which is characterized by the overall equity market returns and volatility. The risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375264
Rebalancing alpha is the excess return of a fixed-weight portfolio, which is regularly rebalanced, over its buy-and-hold counterpart. Two kinds of effects, both results of portfolio rebalancing, contribute to rebalancing alpha. The first is a volatility effect that arises from randomness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031203
If a given risky prospect is compared with multiple choice alternatives, then a joint test for optimality is more appropriate than a series of pairwise Stochastic Dominance tests. We develop and implement a bootstrap empirical likelihood ratio test for this hypothesis. The test statistic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936941
In this paper, we solve a continuous-time portfolio choice problem of an investor under a Markov jump linear system that effectively captures stochasticity in asset returns, price impacts, and market resilience. Specifically, the investor chooses his portfolio to maximize the expected excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492279
We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
This paper empirically examines the impact of dependence structure between the assets on the portfolio optimization, composed of Tehran Stock Exchange Price Index and Borsa Istanbul 100 Index. In this regard, the method of the Copula family functions is proposed as powerful and flexible tool to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909312
In this paper, we propose a multivariate market model with returns assumed to follow a multivariate normal tempered stable distribution. This distribution, defined by a mixture of the multivariate normal distribution and the tempered stable subordinator, is consistent with two stylized facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576319
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
The Black-Litterman model aims to enhance asset allocation decisions by overcoming the problems of mean-variance portfolio optimization. We propose a sample based version of the Black-Litterman model and implement it on a multi-asset portfolio consisting of global stocks, bonds, and commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065986
benchmark portfolio for all admissible utility functions. The present study provides a formal theory of consistent estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237302