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We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655296
There are various competing procedures to determine whether fractional cointegration is present in a multivariate time series, but no standard approach has emerged. We provide a synthesis of this literature and conduct a detailed comparative Monte Carlo study to guide empirical researchers in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957940
This paper derives a multivariate local Whittle estimator for the memory parameter of a possibly long memory process and the fractional cointegration vector robust to low frequency contaminations. This estimator as many other local Whittle based procedures requires a priori knowledge of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105358
This paper extends the popular Diebold-Mariano test to situations when the forecast error loss differential exhibits long memory. It is shown that this situation can arise frequently, since long memory can be transmitted from forecasts and the forecast objective to forecast error loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430242
Models based on factors such as size, value, or momentum are ubiquitous in asset pricing. Therefore, portfolio allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a standard tool for liquid individual assets, this measure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
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In this paper, we propose Phillips-Perron type, semiparametric testing procedures to distinguish a unit root process from a mean-reverting exponential smooth transition autoregressive one. The limiting nonstandard distributions are derived under very general conditions and simulation evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002926863
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388932
In this paper, we introduce the concept of fractional integration for spatial autoregressive models. We show that the range of the dependence can be spatially extended or diminished by introducing a further fractional integration parameter to spatial autoregressive moving average models (SARMA)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014366870