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In a recent paper, Atkeson and Kehoe (2004) demonstrated the lack of a robust empirical relationship between inflation … relationship by allowing for inflation and growth to have a nonlinear specification dependent on inflation levels. In particular …, we allow for the possibility that high inflation is negatively correlated with growth, while a positive relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729476
This brief examines two issues of current interest concerning inflation: (1) whether "well-anchored" expectations will … help to restrain inflation's decline and whether an "un-anchoring" of expectations could lead to undesirably high inflation … and (2) to what extent output (or utilization) gaps are useful components of empirical models of inflation and, if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141451
(IMF) failed to predict the inflation surge during 2021-2023. The output gap, the unemployment gap, the New Keynesian … Phillips curve and inflation expectations did not give timely and relevant signals. The re-emergence of inflation thus threw … sudden acceleration of inflation post factum. This paper critically reviews the theoretical and empirical merits of three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015057216
Nominal, real and structural convergence within the EU is a strong topic for the central banks and the European Central Bank. Joining the Economic and Monetary Union is a challenge for both acceding and participating economies. The convergence has a strong economic and political implications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212536
Despite the significant academic interest in the economic cohesion, the various aspects of convergence and the ways they can be measured still remain theoretically unclear. These are issues of extreme political significance, especially for countries aspiring for EU and euro area membership. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650896
This paper studies the effects of quantitative easing on income and wealth of individual euro area households. The aggregate effects of quantitative easing are estimated in a multi-country VAR model of the four largest euro area countries, in which key variables affecting household income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921470
In March 2015, the Eurosystem launched its QE-programme. The asset purchases induced a rapid and strong increase in excess reserves, implying a structural liquidity surplus in the euro area banking sector. Against this background, the first part of this paper analyses the Eurosystem's liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099037
This chapter reviews and synthesizes our current understanding of the shocks that drive economic fluctuations. The chapter begins with an illustration of the problem of identifying macroeconomic shocks, followed by an overview of the many recent innovations for identifying shocks. It then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024291
monetary and fiscal policy exert greater impact on real GDP and inflation in Nigeria. Overall, it is evident that the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474838
This paper analyzes the impact of large-scale, unconventional asset purchases by advanced country central banks on emerging market economies (EMEs) during 2008–2014. I show that there was substantial heterogeneity in the way EME currency, equity, and long-term sovereign bond markets were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300668