Under minimal assumptions finite sample confidence bands for quantile regression models can be constructed. These confidence bands are based on the "conditional pivotal property" of estimating equations that quantile regression methods aim to solve and will provide valid finite sample inference...

This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. Conventional tests of unbiasedness do not correspond directly to the zero-profit condition. Instead, we use the survey data to calculate potential profits of individual forecasters based on a natural...