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to study how dispersed information impacts inflation and inflation expectations, without imposing strong structural … assumptions on the aggregate marginal cost. We derive a Phillips curve that links inflation, average inflation forecast (i.e., a … dispersed information in generating inflation inertia and predictable average nowcast and forecast errors. The estimated effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312116
We document empirical regularities of disaggregated inflation and consumption and study whether multisectoral New … Keynesian models can explain them. We focus on higher moments of the inflation and consumption growth distributions as well as … on the contemporaneous comovement of these two variables. We find that the sectoral distributions of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013450719
Using the model proposed in Krugman and Taylor's "Contractionary effects of devaluation" (1978), we examine what macroeconomic effects of shocks to foreign prices. We show that these shocks can be contractionary for two reasons: (i) because they imply a loss of income if an economy has a trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331852
inflation surge, posing new challenges for monetary policy. Using a multi-sector model featuring upward labor adjustment … heterogeneity in inflation and output responses. Following an unexpected contractionary monetary policy shock, (constrained … significantly. At the aggregate level, monetary policy is thus more effective at curbing inflation when a larger proportion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015099080
We examine the link between inflation and the variability of relative prices in U.S. equity markets and in U.S. goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014036181
achieved by maximization of utility subject to budget constraint. An increase in inflation that is not accompanied by … about inflation which in turn requires appropriate modelling of inflationary behavior. This study assesses efficacies of … different versions of new Keynesian Phillips curve for capturing dynamics of CPI inflation. Estimation of different formulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464675
changes in inflation on fiscal policy. We find evidence of non-linear short-term effects of HICP inflation on the primary … an inflation turning point - beyond which its short-term (contemporaneous) impact on the primary balance starts being … the whole sample of euro area countries in 2022 (EA-19). Using an alternative measure of "inflation surprise" (available …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483665
Reserve does not target inflation or react to "inflation signals." Rather, the Fed reacts to the very "real" signal sent by … the Federal Reserve largely ceased reacting to inflation or high unemployment, but continued to react when unemployment … controlling for the effects of inflation and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224945
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a … to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation-gap persistence during … Benati's (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115531
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function … inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation persistence during the period 1975 …) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758155