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Is there a homogeneous causality pattern between oil prices and currencies of oil importers and exporters?

Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2013

Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771139

Heterogeneous expectations in the foreign exchange market evidence from the daily dollar

Ahrens, Ralf; Reitz, Stefan - 2003

In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353

Central bank intervention and exchange rate expectations : evidence from the daily DM/US-Dollar exchange rate

Reitz, Stefan - 2002

In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431685

Cointegration in the foreign exchange market and market efficiency since the introduction of the euro : evidence based on bivariate cointegration analyses

Kühl, Michael (contributor) - 2007

the Euro by applying the cointegration analysis to exchange rates. The introduction of the Euro has changed the structure … the introduction of a new currency has resulted in inefficient markets, a bivariate cointegration analysis should be … adjustment to the long-run equilibrium. -- foreign exchange market ; market efficiency ; cointegration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582754

Nonlinearities and asymmetric adjustment to PPP in an exchange rate model with inflation expectations

Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021

This paper estimates a model of the real exchange rate including standard fundamentals as well as two alternative measures of inflation expectations for five inflation targeting countries (UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) over the period January 1993-July 2019. Both a benchmark linear...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438461

Testing for UIP : nonlinearities, monetary announcements and interest rate expectations

Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021

This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617

Exchange rate and oil price interactions in selected CEE countries

Drachal, Krzysztof - In: Economies : open access journal 6 (2018) 2, pp. 1-21

This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772

Causality between stock prices and exchange rates in Turkey : empirical evidence from the ARDL bounds test and a combined cointegration approach

Türsoy, Turgut - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 5 (2017) 1, pp. 1-10

between the variables. The evidence reveals that there is a strong long-run cointegration. The robustness of the ARDL bounds … test cointegration was confirmed using the newly-developed combined cointegration, which also provided the same evidence …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649295

Likelihood-based cointegration analysis in panels of vector error correction models

Groen, Jan J. J.; Kleibergen, Frank - 1999 - This version: July 28, 1999

We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302148

Stock market investment and inflation : evidence from the United States and Canada

Sami, Janesh - In: Review of Economic Analysis : REA 13 (2021) 3, pp. 339-365

distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001), and finds evidence of a positive long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886334