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This paper explores stock return predictability by exploiting the cross-section of oil futures prices. Motivated by the principal component analysis, we find the curvature factor of the oil futures curve predicts monthly stock returns: a 1% per month increase in the curvature factor predicts...
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For a large sample of U.S. companies, we compare the cost of equity estimates of a two-factor international CAPM with those of the single-factor domestic CAPM and the single-factor global CAPM. Our purpose is to assess how much difference it makes for U.S. firms to use the two-factor ICAPM...
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We propose that innovative originality (InnOrig) is a valuable organizational resource, and that owing to limited investor attention and skepticism of complexity, firms with greater InnOrig are undervalued. We find that firms' InnOrig strongly predicts higher, more persistent, and less volatile...
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