In the paper we present the application of risk neutral measure estimation in the analysis of the index WIG20 from Polish stock market. The risk neutral measure is calculated from the process of the options on that index. We assume that risk neutral measure is the mixture of lognormal...

Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...

Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...

Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...

This paper examines the relation between stock returns and unexpected changes in nominal and real interest rates and inflation for the US stock market. With the exception of Sweeney and Warga (1986), we are the first to examine this relation in detail by breaking the results down from the US...

In the present paper author will try to point out that government debt as a percentage of GDP has a negative impact on stock prices in the long run, while entrepreneurial caliber has a positive effect on stock prices in the long run. Data are annual and cover Western European economies for the...

Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...

This paper provides insight view of an investor mind dueling on proving the fact that a series of event in a company could cause a dramatic move on to practitioners who wish to forecast market returns based on event occurrences.Using 12 years (2006 to 2018) historical data of Foxconn Company...

We evaluate the response of perceived tail risks in financial markets to the implementation of unconventional monetary policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using information from out-of-money equity index options, we find that perceived risks decline significantly in response to both policy...