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productivity. A quantitative model of news and sovereign debt default with endogenous maturity choice generates impulse responses …-term debt does not shield the country from bad news shocks, and it may even exacerbate default risk. Finally, an increase in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011950496
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at the empirical evidence on European sovereigns CDS spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
The half-century before World War I has been characterized as the first age of financial globalization. This paper focuses on the role and significance of the bondholders' organizations for the governance of this market. I argue that the outcome of these institutions depended on two dimensions:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108952
For most European Union countries the government expenditure exceeds government revenue which could lead in the long run to an increase in the government debt to GDP ratio. Considering the distortions generated by the financial and economic crisis, followed by the debt crisis, both local and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199903
What determines the recovery of sovereign bond holders in the face of a credit event? This paper studies empirical determinants for sovereign recovery risk. Guided by theoretically backed hypotheses we use a sample of 102 past restructurings and empirically test the relation between haircut...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856237
Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because they have no contractual claims to defined assets and samples of defaults are limited. A geometric version of credit spread is used to derive expected payments, dependent on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
literature argues that domestic creditors also affect borrowing governments' default decisions through channels of domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002577962
We exploit emerging market sovereign CDS spreads to examine the reaction of sovereign credit risk to changes in country-specific and global financial factors. Utilizing a VAR model fitted with DCC GARCH, we find that comovements of spreads generally exhibit significant time-varying correlations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997176
In this study I explore the role of corruption in the cross-market time-varying linkage between sovereign bonds of emerging markets and the US stock market. It shows that corruption plays a prominent role in the behaviour of comovement under different market conditions. The sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999118
The purpose of this article is to analyse factors that can influence on the European country's credit rating. The analysis was performed according to the level of economic development in accordance with the division proposed by the World Bank. There were applied static and dynamic panel data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981027