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Option-Implied Asymmetry and Market Returns
O'Sullivan, Conall; Wang, Yan - 2022
estimate a novel risk-neutral quantile-based asymmetry measure (RNA) from S&P 500 index options. In contrast to existing risk … one to twelve weeks. Our findings suggest that ex-ante systematic asymmetry does matter when predicting excess market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236004
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Downward nominal rigidities and bond premia
Gourio, François; Ngo, Phuong - 2024
We develop a parsimonious New Keynesian macro-finance model with downward nominal rigidities to understand secular and cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505834
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How stable are monetary models of the dollar-euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207061
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Foreign exchange market interventions and the $-Yen exchange rate in the long run
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2013
This paper tries to clarify the question of whether foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Bank of Japan are important for the dollar-yen exchange rate in the long run. Our strategy relies on a re-examination of the empirical performance of a monetary exchange rate model. This is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779186
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The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited : long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2012
Esteve García, Vicente; Navarro Ibáñez, Manuel; … - 2017
regression models, 2010) as well as the cointegration tests developed in Arai and Kurozumi (Testing for the null hypothesis of … cointegration with a structural break, 2007) and Kejriwal (Cointegration with structural breaks: an application to the Feldstein …- Horioka Puzzle, 2008). The results obtained are consistent with the existence of linear cointegration between the log stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745419
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Periodically collapsing bubbles in stock prices cointegrated with broad dividends and macroeconomic factors
Fu, Man; Bidarkota, Prasad V. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 4 (2012) 1, pp. 97-132
output gap shows evidence of cointegration in the DJIA and S&P 500 index data. Nonetheless, a sup augmented Dickey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555939
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TFP news, stock market booms and the business cycle : revisiting the evidence with VEC models
Di Casola, Paola; Sichlimiris, Spyridon - 2020
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050
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Macroeconomic variables and long-term stock market performance : a panel ARDL cointegration approach for G7 countries
Humpe, Andreas; McMillan, David G. - In: Cogent economics & finance 8 (2020) 1, pp. 1-7
cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179569
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Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Housing Market?
Dreger, Christian; Zhang, Yanqun - 2011
of the bubble, the house price evolution is investigated by panel cointegration techniques. Evidence is based on a … dataset for 35 major cities. Cointegration is detected between real house prices and a set of macroeconomic determinants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014044317
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How Stable are Monetary Models of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate? A Time-Varying Coefficient Approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar Hubertus; Kuehl, Michael - 2009
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201977