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During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
Recent crises have emphasized the tail risks present in corporate credit markets. Using credit default swap (CDS) data across maturities, we document two patterns. First, while the CDS term structure is generally upward sloping, financially constrained firms exhibit a negative slope. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239690
Recent global crises have brought to light the risks that corporate credit markets are exposed to, particularly in the tails of the distribution. Using firm-level, credit default swap (CDS) data across maturities, we discuss two stylized facts. First, while the term structure of credit spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405323
We analyze the term structure of illiquidity premiums as the difference between the yield curves of two major bond segments that are both government guaranteed but differ in their liquidity. We show that its characteristics strongly depend on the economic situation. In crisis times, illiquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066296
We analyze the term structure of illiquidity premiums as the difference between the yield curves of two major bond segments that are both government guaranteed but differ in their liquidity. We show that its characteristics strongly depend on the economic situation. In crisis times, illiquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009667173
This paper investigates the relation between credit risk and stock return for publicly traded firms in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) over the period 2000-2017. Using credit ratings as a proxy for credit risk, we find that this relation is negative in Pakistan, as low-rated stocks (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869009
We propose an easy to implement yield curve extrapolation method to determine long-term interest rates suitable for regulatory valuation. We empirically evaluate this approach for the German nominal bond market, by estimating the model on bonds with maturities up to 20 years and assessing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013545943
We put forward a Merton-type multi-factor portfolio model for assessing banks’ contributions to systemic risk. This model accounts for the major drivers of banks’ systemic relevance: size, default risk and correlation of banks’ assets as a proxy for interconnectedness. We measure systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011220
We put forward a Merton-type multi-factor portfolio model for assessing banks' contributions to systemic risk. This model accounts for the major drivers of banks' systemic relevance: size, default risk and correlation of banks' assets as a proxy for interconnectedness. We measure systemic risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989230
I decompose the variation of credit spreads for corporate bonds into changing expected returns and changing expectation of credit losses. Using a log-linearized pricing identity and a vector autoregression applied to micro-level data from 1973 to 2011, I find that expected returns contribute to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006105